Will PMI Break 50? Traders Waiting to See

August 31, 2009 by Trace  
Filed under Trading in the Market

In the currency market, last on the Euro $1.4274 down 76/100ths of a U.S cent. The Dollar is trading on a firm note with Wall Street expecting to see further improvement in the manufacturing sector this morning. The Chicago Purchasing Manager’s Index of Manufacturing (PMI) is expected to clock in with a reading of 47.2, up again from the prior month’s 43.4. Some traders think we might actually break the 50 level. A reading of 50 or higher represents expansion in manufacturing sector. This would be a very positive economic signal.

Metals are trading flat to lower this morning after last Friday’s sharp gains. Traders are pointing to a 6% decline in Chinese stocks; and a bounce in the U.S Dollar for this morning’s lower levels. Silver is down 10 cents at $14.65. Gold is $3.00 lower and trading at $954.00. Palladium remains $1.00 higher with the last trade at $287.00. Platinum is $1234.00 down $11.00.

Over in the energy markets the price of Crude is down $1.66 per barrel on nervousness surrounding severe Chinese stock market losses. Last on Oil $71.08. U.S stocks finished last Friday with a 36 point loss snapping an 8 or 9 day run of positive closes. On an overall basis the Dow gained 38 points for the whole of last week. This morning the index is being called to open 62 points lower in sympathy with Asian and European markets.

On the geo-political front; Japanese voters ushered in a new era in Japanese politics with a sound thrashing of it’s Liberal Democratic Party at the polls. Voters have decided to turn to new leadership after 50 years of business as usual.

Today’s economic calendar:

U.S. Chicago PMI
U.K. Markets Closed

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