Improvement in Consumer Confidence Expected Today – Bernanke will be Reappointed Fed Chairman

The metals are trading a shade higher in advance of this morning’s economic data, and in the aftermath of news reports that indicate Ben Bernanke will be reappointed to another term as Chairman of the Federal Reserve. It appears President Obama’s advisors decided to heed Wall Street warnings and maintain continuity.

Silver is 2 cents higher at $14.22. Gold is $947.00 up $5.00. Palladium edged up $3.00 to $285.00. Platinum down $2.00 and is presently trading at $1238.00. Our background barometers are mixed and quiet with Crude slipping 17 cents to $74.20. The Euro is 28/100ths of U.S cent higher at $1.4328.

U.S . stocks ended the Monday trading day flat with a marginal gain of 3 Dow points. We still have no clue as to why the market collapsed so rapidly yesterday. This morning the early futures indications are calling for a rise of 17 points. The indication is moot given the fact that the economic data will hit the wires long before the market opens.

As for the data; we expect to see improvement in both reports. The Case Shiller Home Price Index is estimated to clock in with home prices declining 16.4% compared to last month’s decline of 17.06%. Consumer Confidence for August is also expected to show improvement with an index of 47.9 versus July’s 46.6. Consumer Confidence is very important to the economy because it remains the key factor driving consumer spending. Spending drives our economy.

Traders Nervous in Advance of Bernanke’s Speech at 10AM

Metals are changing hands in a mixed and quiet fashion. Silver is 7 cents higher at $13.99. Gold is $943.005 up $1.25 per ounce. Palladium is $1.00 lower at $275.00. Platinum is down $3.00 and trading at $1239.00.

The lack of activity is being ascribed to nervousness in advance of today’s scheduled speech by Fed Chairman Bernanke at 10 am eastern. Expect Dollar volatility. The head of the Fed is expected to make remarks about the economy at the Annual Fed Symposium in Wyoming. Of greater concern should be whether Mr. Bernanke gets a second term, with President Obama to make that decision shortly. Early indications warn that a change at the helm of the Fed would cause a major stock market shake out.

Speaking of the stock market; the Dow ended Thursday with a 70 point gain and appears to be headed for another 40 point gain this morning with traders expecting to see a slight improvement in this morning’s release of Existing Home Sales. The latest estimate calls for a reading of 5 million units compared to June’s 4.89 million. Just another example of bad but better.

Meanwhile over in the energy markets the price of Oil continues to rise with electronic trading showing a gain of 76 cents to $73.74. Keep in mind the recent rise in the price of Oil is a two edged sword. Rising prices implies higher demand and greater economic activity, but rising prices also tend to divert consumer spending dollars which will ultimately hurt economic expansion.

In currency trading we find the Euro up 76/100ths of U.S cent in advance of the Bernanke speech; and in line with the weaker Dollar and higher oil. Last trade $1.4320.

In global matters; Iran has suddenly agreed to allow greater monitoring by U.N. inspectors of a uranium-enrichment facility, ending a long standing diplomatic impasse. You get the sense that Iran is trying to divert world attention from it’s current social unrest. In a final note; Cash for Clunkers will officially end next Monday.