Markets Lifeless as Traders Await Today’s GDP Reading

August 27, 2009 by Trace  
Filed under Trading in the Market

Markets are trading or expected to open flat this morning with traders expressing nervousness over the pending 2nd Quarter release of our Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Despite all the optimism having been thrown about in the wake of recent economic data; traders will face the stark reality of what it all means when the GDP gets released this morning. GDP is the sum total of all goods and services produced in our country. In other words it’s the bottom line result of all our economic data.

The current estimate calls for a preliminary 2nd Quarter reading of -1.5%. This is an unfavorable comparison to the first quarter where our economic contraction was only 1%. If correct it will have traders scratching their heads.

Today’s other report of significance will be this week’s Initial Jobless Claims. Wall Street expects to see a number of 565,000 versus last week’s 576,000. Core PCE Inflation is expected to have remained unchanged at 2%.

As for the markets; Silver remains unchanged at $14.25. Gold is $2.00 higher at $947.00. Palladium is $283.00 up $1.00. Platinum is flat at $1235.00.

Our day to day barometers are mixed and quiet. Crude is 52 cents per barrel lower at 70.92. The Euro is 28/100ths of U.S. cent higher at $1.4258. Over in the equities market the Dow finished the Wednesday trading day with a 4 point gain. This morning the index is being called to open 2 points lower.

On the geo-political front it appears the predicted public uproar surrounding the planned visit to New Jersey by Libya’s Moammar Gadhafi has already started according to a front page article in today’s Wall Street Journal. It’s sort of reminiscent of Iran’s Ahmadinejad visiting New York City.

Late Afternoon Pre-Fed bounce in the Euro

August 12, 2009 by Trace  
Filed under Trading in the Market

With about a half hour to go before the Fed releases it’s data; the metals ended the New York session on a firm note.

The Euro gained 62/100ths of cent versus our Greenback with currency traders front running their expectations of what the Fed will say. The Euro got a little extra support when the U.S.Trade Deficit expanded by $1 billion from the prior month.

Traders took their cue from a surge in Oil and a late afternoon pre-Fed bounce in the Euro. Silver ended the session at $14.56 up 22 cents. Gold gained $4.00 to $950.00. Palladium and Platinum remained slightly down,losing $7.00 per ounce for a close of $1235.00 and $2.00 for Palladium and a close of $273.00. Volume was moderate.

Crude Oil jumped by $1.24 per barrel on the Dollar’s weakness along with a powerful surge in the Dow. The rise in Oil comes despite today’s higher than expected inventories. Last on Crude $70.69.

In the stock market the Dow is presently up 134 points with traders pointing to the warm reception on today’s treasury debt auctions. Other traders are buying in advance of expected optimism on the part of the Fed. More in the AM

Forex Trading Mindset

June 19, 2009 by Trace  
Filed under Forex Tips

There is plenty of risk involved in trading on just about any market. Hostile conditions can leave you high and dry if you do not have the knowledge required to get out of a risky position at the right time. On the other hand, over-reaction to a temporary situation can put you in an equally tough situation, so it is worth keeping some things in mind

  • Firstly, remember that you are trading with borrowed money. Before you make your first real trades, open a demo account and use that to test your instincts. Once you are making profits consistently you can switch to trading real money – and will be much less likely to lose it. If you have encouraging early results, do not be tempted to jump right in – this is not the time for high risks.
  • Be consistent. It is easy to get carried away if you feel that a position is destined to bring you a profit. You may think inwardly that you have a stop-loss point of no return, but when the currency hits that price you flinch and convince yourself that it is coming back up. You might as well not have set the limit in the first place, then. Have realistic targets and stick to them.
  • Choose your broker wisely. There are some Forex brokers who use legally or morally questionable tactics to guarantee a profit and there is no-one they will not sell out – yourself included. Ask around for tips, and follow the advice that keeps coming up.